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Adaptation · Adopters

US state AI bills introduced (legislative year)

emerging55/95 confidence, mixed or hard to operationalisegrade Blagging

1What this measures

Count of state bills in NCSL's artificial-intelligence legislation tracker for the legislative year, with the enacted subset alongside.

Why it matters. The institutional response the paper expects to lag deployment; volume says attention, enactments say binding rules.

Proxy types
policy
Unit
count
Cadence
annual
Valve
adoption to adaptation

2How we track this

Normal band
≥ 500
Fast band
≤ 200
Falsifying

Normal = five hundred or more bills a year (the 2024-2025 volume, legislatures reacting at their own speed); fast = under two hundred, legislatures standing aside. Between is emerging.

Applied to ncsl.us.ai_bills_introduced.a.

3Tracker interpretation

Counted from NCSL's table, so scraped and pending until a human merges; bills are not laws.

4Evidence

Latest point
1035as of 2025-12-31
us
Value the bands apply to
1035as of 2025-12-31

2 observations. Hollow points are disputed (see counterevidence). Every point links to its observation.

5Status and reasoning

emergingsince 2026-09-10 · evaluate

NCSL's 2025 legislation tracker holds 1,035 state AI bills, of which 170 carry an enacted or signed status, counted from the published table on 11 Sep 2026. Inside the normal band (500 or more a year: legislatures reacting at their own pace). One tracker, scraped, tier 6, so the status is capped at emerging until a second count (MultiState or the Transparency Coalition) corroborates. Initial seed.

The tracker's prior expectation was consistent with normal; the evaluator reads emerging. The evaluator wins until a reviewed override.

6Timeline notes

  • 2025-12-31 us · 1035as of 2025-12-31

7Counterevidence

What cuts against this reading

A single tracker's classification; introduced bills are cheap signals; the enacted count is the one that binds.

8Update history

  1. 2026-09-10unmeasured to emergingconf 55 · evaluate

    NCSL's 2025 legislation tracker holds 1,035 state AI bills, of which 170 carry an enacted or signed status, counted from the published table on 11 Sep 2026. Inside the normal band (500 or more a year: legislatures reacting at their own pace). One tracker, scraped, tier 6, so the status is capped at emerging until a second count (MultiState or the Transparency Coalition) corroborates. Initial seed.

9Confidence

55 / 95 — mixed or hard to operationalise

Confidence is independent of status: 90–95 multiple strong independent sources; 70–89 good evidence, some ambiguity; 50–69 mixed or hard to operationalise; below 50 limited or vague.

10Related