Indicators / series
aifutures_blog.ai_2027_quantitative.pace_vs_predicted.pt
Source: AI Futures Project blog (AI Futures Project) · Substack; short quotation · CSV
AI Futures Project
| id | value | grade | as of date | published date | tier | audited vs reported | extraction method | review status | retrieved at | http status | content hash | supersedes id | url | flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| f8386ab8c9d0fc8d | 65.0% | grade D, evidence tier 7 | 2025-12-31 | 2026-02-12 | 7 | estimated | manual | approved | 2026-09-10T07:01:43.413352Z | 200 | 9e2ffc718a3a | — | source page | |
| 86d58f4a839a1c59 | 75.0% | grade D, evidence tier 7 | 2026-07-31 | 2026-07-31 | 7 | estimated | manual | approved | 2026-09-10T07:01:43.413352Z | 200 | 9e2ffc718a3a | — | source page |
Raw snippets and dispute text
- f8386ab8c9d0fc8d In aggregate, progress on quantitative metrics is at roughly 65% of the pace that AI 2027 predicted.
- 86d58f4a839a1c59 Update: As of July 2026, more data has come in; preliminary analysis indicates that progress on quantitative metrics is actually more like 75% the pace the AI 2027 predicted.